Climate Change and Adaptive Capacity 

Two reports from the Tyndall Centre may be of interest to BFPs looking at vulnerability.

Can be downloaded at: http://www.tyndall.ac.uk/publications/working_papers/wp27.pdf and http://www.tyndall.ac.uk/publications/working_papers/wp28.pdf

Papers below details effects of climate change on water and agriculture in general; 

1. Bhandari P, Bhadwal S, Kelkar U: Examining adaptation and mitigation opportunities in the context of the integrated watershed management programme of the Government of India. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 2007, 12: 919-933.  
2. Bradley RS, Vuille M, Diaz HF, Vergara W: CLIMATE CHANGE: Threats to Water Supplies in the Tropical Andes. Science 2006, 312: 1755-1756.  
3. Branosky E, Greenhalgh S. Agriculture and climate change: greenhouse gas mitigation opportunities and the 2007 farm bill. 2, 1-6. 2007.  World Resources Institute (WRI). WRI POLICY NOTE.
4. Cabrera VE, Letson D, Podesta G: The value of climate information when farm programs matter. Agricultural Systems 2007, 93: 25-42.  
5. Daufresne M, Boet P: Climate change impacts on structure and diversity of fish communities in rivers. Global Change Biology 2007, 13: 1-12.  
6. de Wit M, Stankiewicz J: Changes in Surface Water Supply Across Africa with Predicted Climate Change. Science 2006, 311: 1917-1921.
7. Fleischer A, Lichtman I, Mendelsohn RO: Climate Change, Irrigation, and Israeli Agriculture: Will Warming Be Harmful? Ecological Economics 2007, 1-8.  
8. Gordon LJ, Steffen W, Jonsson BF, Folke C, Falkenmark M, Johannessen A: Human modification of global water vapor flows from the land surface. PNAS 2005, 102: 7612-7617.  
9. Ingham A, Ma J, Ulph A: Climate change, mitigation and adaptation with uncertainty and learning. Energy Policy 2007, 35: 5354-5369.  
10. Jackson RB, Carpenter SR, Dahm CN, McKnight DM, Naiman RJ, Postel SL et al.: Water in a changing world. Ecological Applications 2001, 11(4): 1027-1045.  
11. Karl TR, Trenberth KE: Modern Global Climate Change. Science 2003, 302: 1719-1723.  
12. Kunstmann H, Jung G: Impact of regional climate change on water availability in the Volta basin of West Africa. In: Regional Hydrological Impacts of Climatic Variability an d Change, (Proceedings of symposium S6 held during the Seventh IAHS Scientific Assembly at Foz do Iguaçu, Brazil, April 2005); 1-11.  
13. Legates DR. Global Warming and the Hydrologic Cycle: How are the Occurrence of Floods, Droughts, and Storms Likely to Change?  1-40. 2004.  The George Marshall Institute Washington, D.C. 
14. Morton JF: The impact of climate change on smallholder and subsistence agriculture. PNAS 2007, 104: 19680-19685.